On the Outside Looking In – Gemologist

The Kentucky Derby 2012 is less than 2 months away and while Union Rags, El Padrino and Creative Cause are topping most lists for Kentucky Derby favorite, there is still time for other horses to make an impression. One such horse is Gemologist.

Unfortunately, as the Kentucky Derby graded stakes earnings rules go, Gemologist is one of the many horses on the outside looking in. Gemologist currently has $103,855 in graded earnings. Typically, it takes $200,000 to be assured a spot in the Kentucky Derby starting gate. While he hastn’ made it in yet, there is still time for him to earn enough to get into the gate.

Gemologist has the classic pedigree to make him a legitimate Kentucky Derby contender. By the amazing sire, Tiznow, only horse to win the Breeder’s Cup Classic twice and out of the Mr. Prospector mare, Crystal Shard. Although his dam was unraced, she features solid racehorses from quite a ways back – Mr. Prospector and Northern Dancer. He sports a respectable 2.73 dosage index with a distribution falling heavily in the classic distance.

Gemologist has been flawless in his four career starts, three as a two year old and just one as a three year old. His debut saw him win by five lengths in a Maiden Special Weight. In his next start, an allowance at a mile and 1/16th, he again set the pace and won by 2 lengths. In his last start as a two year old, he made his stakes debut in the mile and 1/16th Jockeky Club Stakes. That field featured other well thought of foes in Optimizer and Secret Circle and Ever So Lucky. This time, Gemologist waited off the pace and dueled with Ever So Lucky for the win. The appearance of both  Currency Swap and Gemologist in a one mile Allowance race at Gulfstream on March 16, brought excitement to what would have been just another race on the card. In his three year old debut, Gemologist did not disappoint. He handled the field and the talented Currency Swap en route to a seven length win. Again, he returned to the role of the pacesetter and wired the field. Impressive!

Impressive, but will he be ready for the Kentucky Derby field should he make it in? Pletcher states his next start will likely be the Wood and then the Kentucky Derby. While it is possible for a lightly raced horse to come away with the roses, they usually have been tested much more. The Kentucky Derby with its large field and super-pressure requires a horse who has been in a “fight” or two and has not backed now. It will be interesting to see what kind of field shows up for the Wood if that is indeed where Gemologist next goes and see how he handles such a field. For now, he’s on the outside looking in, but he’s certainly an exciting prospect to watch.

I’m turning for home and will talk with you later,

Blue Blue Sea

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